Ligue 2 - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 2-3
Gazélec Ajaccio vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2019 |
LMU
1 - 2
GAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
PFC
1 - 0
GAZ
54%
28%
19%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
GAZ
1 - 2
CHA
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
LHA
2 - 2
GAZ
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
GAZ
0 - 2
SOC
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2019 |
LMU
1 - 2
GAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
LMU
2 - 1
CHA
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
MGG
0 - 1
LMU
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
LMU
2 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 1
LMU
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |