Gazélec Ajaccio vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
OLY
0 - 0
GAZ
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
GAZ
1 - 0
FCM
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
GAZ
3 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
GFO
1 - 1
GAZ
26%
26%
49%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
GAZ
3 - 0
LEP
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
TAR
2 - 0
AUR
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
ALB
0 - 0
AUR
56%
25%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 1
PAU
40%
27%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 0
AUR
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |