Gazélec Ajaccio vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
GAZ
1 - 1
LEN
30%
29%
42%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
LHA
2 - 1
GAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
GAZ
1 - 1
ARL
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
VAN
3 - 3
GAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
IST
2 - 0
GAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
ARL
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
ARL
2 - 0
ANG
39%
30%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
GAZ
1 - 1
ARL
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 0
GUI
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ARL
0 - 0
LEN
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |