Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 2-2
Gaz Metan vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaz Metan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
GAZ
0 - 5
DBU
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
M05
1 - 1
GAZ
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
GAZ
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
GAZ
2 - 0
KUO
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
KUO
1 - 0
GAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
ZWE
1 - 2
M05
6%
17%
77%
|
83 | 29 | 54 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
M05
1 - 1
GAZ
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
M05
2 - 1
STP
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
S04
1 - 3
M05
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
M05
3 - 0
EIN
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |