Q. Europa League PlayOffs Final
Global 2-3
Gaz Metan vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaz Metan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
GAZ
3 - 0
VOI
71%
20%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
AUS
3 - 1
GAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
CLU
0 - 2
GAZ
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
GAZ
1 - 1
M05
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
GAZ
0 - 5
DBU
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 3
AUS
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
AUS
3 - 1
GAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
AUS
5 - 0
KAP
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ADM
1 - 3
AUS
11%
20%
69%
|
79 | 32 | 47 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
AUS
3 - 2
OLI
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |