Follonica Gavorrano vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 1
GAV
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 1
TIF
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 1
SDT
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 3
GAV
20%
21%
59%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GAV
4 - 1
ARZ
31%
27%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
USP
1 - 1
FOL
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
RIE
2 - 1
USP
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
USP
3 - 0
MON
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +4 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UNV
0 - 1
USP
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
USP
1 - 0
SPO
20%
24%
56%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |