Follonica Gavorrano vs Sporting Trestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GAV
0 - 2
GRO
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
OST
1 - 0
GAV
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
GAV
3 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FEZ
1 - 2
GAV
17%
24%
59%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FUL
1 - 4
GAV
19%
24%
58%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 0
FEZ
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
GAV
3 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ASF
1 - 0
SPO
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |