Follonica Gavorrano vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 1
GAV
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GAV
1 - 1
VIG
42%
27%
32%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
APR
2 - 1
GAV
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
GAV
2 - 2
TER
31%
25%
43%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ARZ
0 - 0
GAV
38%
26%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SOR
2 - 0
ARZ
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ISC
0 - 0
SOR
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SOR
0 - 1
CAS
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RAA
2 - 4
SOR
10%
19%
71%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SOR
3 - 1
USP
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -1 |