Follonica Gavorrano vs Seravezza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 1
USP
70%
18%
11%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 1
GAV
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 1
TIF
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 1
SDT
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 3
GAV
20%
21%
59%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Seravezza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
USR
1 - 1
SER
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
MEZ
56%
23%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
RAV
3 - 0
SER
57%
24%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
SER
4 - 0
SES
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |