Follonica Gavorrano vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
10º
4º
41
9º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GAV
2 - 1
USP
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
GAV
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GAV
2 - 2
PIA
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 1
GAV
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GAV
3 - 1
ASD
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ORV
0 - 1
PIA
14%
20%
66%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
USP
2 - 2
ORV
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 3
ASD
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
OST
1 - 0
ORV
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ORV
0 - 4
ARZ
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |