Follonica Gavorrano vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ASG
3 - 1
GAV
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
GAV
2 - 1
SAS
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
USP
4 - 2
GAV
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ARZ
0 - 2
GAV
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
GAV
7 - 1
SPO
55%
25%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 1
ORV
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
ORV
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -9 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ORV
0 - 0
PIE
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ARZ
7 - 3
ORV
82%
13%
5%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ORV
1 - 2
VIT
54%
25%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |