Follonica Gavorrano vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 0
GAV
19%
24%
58%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 1
JMO
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
GAV
29%
27%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GAV
1 - 0
FCV
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ACS
1 - 2
GAV
28%
26%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JMO
1 - 1
MPO
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MPO
3 - 0
VFC
50%
27%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 0
MPO
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MPO
1 - 1
SSD
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ASG
2 - 1
MPO
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |