Follonica Gavorrano vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GAV
0 - 1
SIE
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GGV
2 - 5
GAV
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 2
GAV
20%
25%
55%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GAV
1 - 2
SDT
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
GAV
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 2
LIV
21%
26%
54%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LIV
5 - 0
ATT
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
LIV
3 - 0
SER
58%
22%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 0
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
USP
1 - 2
LIV
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |