Follonica Gavorrano vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 1
GAV
33%
25%
42%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
GAV
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 0
USP
43%
25%
32%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FON
2 - 3
GAV
26%
24%
51%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GAV
1 - 1
FOL
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LAQ
4 - 1
RAA
59%
24%
17%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
LAQ
63%
22%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ASM
51%
25%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 5
LAQ
53%
25%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 1
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |