Follonica Gavorrano vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 2
GAV
33%
25%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GAV
0 - 2
PRG
29%
29%
42%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PAG
3 - 4
GAV
55%
24%
20%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 2
VIG
35%
27%
39%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
GAV
41%
26%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 1
NEA
54%
24%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
1 - 0
RAA
33%
30%
37%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAQ
2 - 0
GIU
63%
22%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 2
ASM
45%
26%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 1
PAG
26%
28%
47%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |