Follonica Gavorrano vs Ghivizzano Borgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
USP
1 - 1
GAV
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 2
PIA
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SIE
3 - 3
GAV
82%
14%
4%
|
28 | 75 | 47 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GAV
0 - 2
MPO
36%
27%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
USP
2 - 0
GAV
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ghivizzano Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GHI
0 - 2
VMO
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |