Follonica Gavorrano vs Flaminia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
12º
6º
16
10º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 56 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 56 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 46 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 41 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 34 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 75.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ASF
1 - 1
GAV
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
3 - 0
ACS
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
2 - 2
LIV
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATT
0 - 0
GAV
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
GAV
0 - 2
TRA
14%
20%
67%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 3
FUL
75%
15%
9%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 0
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 1
ASF
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 2
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 2
ULD
67%
21%
11%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |