Follonica Gavorrano vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
APR
2 - 1
GAV
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GAV
3 - 0
GIU
65%
21%
15%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 2
GAV
33%
25%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GAV
0 - 2
PRG
29%
29%
42%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PAG
3 - 4
GAV
55%
24%
20%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FCC
5 - 0
ACI
72%
19%
9%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
USV
0 - 2
FCC
18%
26%
56%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
LAQ
61%
23%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 1
CAM
71%
20%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
APR
1 - 1
FCC
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |