Follonica Gavorrano vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
GAV
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GAV
1 - 2
ASM
61%
21%
17%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ASD
2 - 0
GAV
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GAV
3 - 1
RAA
73%
18%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 0
GAV
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
USP
39%
26%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHI
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
ASM
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
CHI
29%
28%
43%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
FON
77%
16%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |