Follonica Gavorrano vs Castel Rigone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MES
4 - 2
GAV
75%
17%
9%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GAV
1 - 0
USF
18%
22%
59%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +3 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SOR
1 - 1
GAV
81%
14%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GAV
0 - 3
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 0
GAV
53%
25%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Rigone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
ISC
26%
25%
49%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 1
CAS
40%
26%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 4
ARZ
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TUT
2 - 1
CAS
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |