Follonica Gavorrano vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+134%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ISC
0 - 0
GAV
75%
17%
9%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GAV
0 - 4
ASM
57%
23%
21%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -3 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
GAV
4 - 1
PON
22%
24%
54%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +4 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
GAV
82%
13%
6%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
GAV
2 - 1
APR
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 1
NUO
23%
24%
54%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
USP
1 - 1
CAS
36%
27%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
MAT
0 - 0
CAS
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
NUO
1 - 1
CAS
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
LRO
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |