Follonica Gavorrano vs Gualdo Casacastalda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VOL
1 - 1
GAV
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GAV
3 - 1
VMO
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GAV
1 - 1
VFC
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MPO
0 - 1
GAV
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GAV
5 - 2
SSD
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
JMO
30%
24%
47%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VFC
2 - 0
CAS
54%
24%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCV
15%
23%
63%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SSD
4 - 1
CAS
36%
26%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASG
13%
21%
66%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +2 |