Follonica Gavorrano vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ACS
0 - 2
GAV
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GAV
0 - 0
USR
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
GAV
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
GAV
1 - 1
ACP
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MPO
2 - 0
GAV
46%
27%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 1
PIA
14%
21%
64%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MAS
1 - 2
BAS
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 3
BAS
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
SDT
13%
21%
66%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +3 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ACS
3 - 1
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |