Follonica Gavorrano vs ASD HinterReggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RAA
1 - 3
GAV
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GAV
1 - 2
ARZ
60%
21%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
TER
0 - 0
GAV
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GAV
0 - 0
VIG
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 2
NEA
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
ASD HinterReggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 1
APR
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
ASD
54%
25%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 0
BOR
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
ASD
15%
24%
61%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACR
2 - 0
ASD
25%
25%
49%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -3 |