Follonica Gavorrano vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 2
FCC
28%
27%
45%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
APR
2 - 1
GAV
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GAV
3 - 0
GIU
65%
21%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 2
GAV
33%
25%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GAV
0 - 2
PRG
29%
29%
42%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 3
ASM
42%
25%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 2
ASM
45%
26%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
LAQ
40%
26%
34%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASM
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
FON
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |