Follonica Gavorrano vs Arzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
EBO
1 - 6
GAV
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 2
GAV
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GAV
2 - 2
RAA
49%
26%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 1
GAV
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
GAV
1 - 1
LAQ
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FON
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 1
ARZ
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ARZ
2 - 2
ASM
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ARZ
0 - 0
FAN
70%
18%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
EBO
3 - 2
ARZ
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |