Follonica Gavorrano vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GIU
2 - 0
GAV
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GAV
1 - 2
CAM
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
PRG
1 - 1
GAV
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GAV
1 - 1
PAG
20%
26%
54%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VIG
2 - 2
GAV
40%
26%
35%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
APR
3 - 0
VIG
36%
25%
38%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
APR
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
APR
1 - 0
EBO
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
3 - 2
APR
66%
20%
14%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RAA
1 - 1
APR
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |