Follonica Gavorrano vs Aglianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SDT
2 - 0
GAV
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GAV
3 - 2
FLA
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GAV
1 - 1
CAN
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SCA
3 - 1
GAV
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GAV
2 - 0
ACS
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ACA
0 - 1
MON
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 1
ACA
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ACA
0 - 0
ALB
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ACS
2 - 1
ACA
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 0
TUT
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |