Gavilanes FC vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
4º
16
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
16 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 15 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavilanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 0
GAV
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
GAV
3 - 2
DUR
32%
29%
40%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GAV
1 - 1
CFO
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
CFO
0 - 1
GAV
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CFO
1 - 1
GAV
20%
25%
55%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
INT
1 - 2
REB
17%
23%
61%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HDZ
0 - 0
REB
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
REB
2 - 1
ADP
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 3
REB
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
REB
0 - 2
PDS
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | -1 |