Gavilanes FC vs Lobos ULMX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
10º
3º
6
3º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 22 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 21 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 21 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 19 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 16 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 15 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 13 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 13 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 12 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 11 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 11 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 8 |
12º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
35.5% | 0.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
22.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavilanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GAV
6 - 1
COL
76%
17%
8%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
COR
2 - 3
GAV
16%
22%
62%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GAV
2 - 2
AGU
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
REB
2 - 2
GAV
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
COR
0 - 5
GAV
17%
23%
60%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LUL
1 - 1
IRA
6%
15%
79%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
COL
1 - 0
LUL
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LUL
0 - 0
COR
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 3
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 2
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |