Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-3
CF Gavá vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Gavá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
GAV
5 - 0
OLI
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
BAR
2 - 0
GAV
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
GAV
1 - 0
JUP
39%
24%
36%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
FIG
3 - 0
GAV
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
GAV
4 - 0
ATL
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
CAS
0 - 0
DEP
60%
23%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
GRA
1 - 0
CAS
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
CAS
3 - 1
CDT
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
MAL
0 - 0
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALA
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |