Gaúcho vs Esportivo BG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
VER
1 - 2
GAU
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
GAU
1 - 2
URS
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 0
GAU
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
GAU
3 - 0
BRA
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
GLO
1 - 0
GAU
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 2
CRU
67%
20%
14%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
VER
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
URS
1 - 1
ESP
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 1
GLO
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 3
PAS
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |