Gaúcho vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
73.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 3
GAU
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
GAU
2 - 0
AIM
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 2
GAU
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GAU
0 - 0
SPO
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
GAU
0 - 2
ESP
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
ECS
4 - 2
SPO
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 26 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ECS
1 - 0
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
ECS
7%
13%
80%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 1
ECS
10%
19%
71%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ECS
0 - 0
REM
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |