Gateshead vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GAT
2 - 2
BRA
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
GAT
1 - 0
CUR
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FAR
1 - 0
GAT
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
GAT
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
GAT
0 - 1
FYL
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 2
SOU
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 2
SPE
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 3
YOR
37%
26%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
SOU
47%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
KET
0 - 1
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |