Gateshead vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
GAT
3 - 1
SCA
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
GAT
1 - 0
TOW
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
HEB
2 - 4
GAT
11%
16%
73%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
GAT
1 - 3
MID
9%
17%
74%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
GAT
0 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
SOU
21%
24%
56%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 1
SOU
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
WID
0 - 2
SOU
15%
19%
67%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BLY
2 - 1
SOU
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 2
KID
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |