Gateshead vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
GAT
0 - 0
NEW
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
GAT
1 - 1
GRI
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DAR
3 - 0
GAT
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
GAT
3 - 2
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 2
GAT
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 2
NEW
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 3
KID
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
TAM
2 - 1
SOU
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
EBB
4 - 1
SOU
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
FOR
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |