Gateshead vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 2
GAT
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GAT
0 - 1
WRE
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
HAY
3 - 1
GAT
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GAT
2 - 2
RUS
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
GAT
3 - 0
EAS
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRA
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 3
NEW
30%
27%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NEW
5 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
YOR
2 - 1
NEW
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 1
DAR
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |