FA Cup 1/256
Global 3-2
Gateshead vs Marske United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
GAT
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GAT
3 - 1
BOS
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RUN
2 - 3
GAT
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GAT
3 - 0
GLO
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GAT
6 - 2
BRA
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Marske United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
GAT
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
4 - 1
BRI
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 0
GLO
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 4
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
CHE
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |