FA Trophy Last 16
Global 5-2
Gateshead vs Maidstone United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MAI
2 - 2
GAT
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
GAT
0 - 0
WRE
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
GAT
2 - 1
MAI
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
GAT
1 - 1
WOK
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 3
GAT
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Maidstone United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MAI
2 - 2
GAT
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
GAT
2 - 1
MAI
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
FYL
3 - 0
MAI
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MAI
2 - 3
EAS
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MAI
2 - 1
HEY
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |