Gateshead vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 2
GAT
22%
25%
54%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GAT
3 - 1
SOU
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
KET
1 - 1
GAT
21%
24%
54%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
GAT
4 - 2
DAR
68%
19%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 6
GAT
11%
19%
70%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2022 |
HER
2 - 2
BRA
21%
27%
52%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 0
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HER
3 - 2
BRA
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
GLO
1 - 0
HER
41%
27%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
AFC
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |