Gateshead vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 1
GAT
51%
23%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GAT
3 - 1
KET
45%
24%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
GAT
1 - 0
GUI
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
GAT
1 - 3
SPE
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
BLY
2 - 2
GAT
18%
21%
61%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 1
GLO
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CUR
1 - 1
GUI
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 4
FYL
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 5
STO
16%
20%
64%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 2
HAL
32%
25%
44%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |