National League Playoff Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Gateshead vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 1
GAT
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GAT
2 - 0
CAM
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 2
GAT
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
GAT
2 - 2
SOU
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
GAT
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 1
GAT
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
GRI
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 0
HYD
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 3
GRI
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
GRI
0 - 1
HAL
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |