Gateshead vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GAT
0 - 2
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
GAT
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
GAT
2 - 0
ALF
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GAT
3 - 1
BRA
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
GAT
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FYL
2 - 1
GAI
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
TOW
0 - 0
GAI
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 2
WOR
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GAI
2 - 1
STA
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
OXF
2 - 0
GAI
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |