Gateshead vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WRE
2 - 1
GAT
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GAT
3 - 2
KET
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
STO
0 - 1
GAT
31%
23%
46%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 2
TAM
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
GAT
48%
24%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
DAR
2 - 0
CAM
40%
28%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GRI
3 - 0
DAR
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
KET
0 - 0
DAR
29%
27%
45%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DAR
0 - 0
FOR
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
WRE
2 - 1
DAR
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |