Gateshead vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
GRI
2 - 1
GAT
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GAT
2 - 3
DOV
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 1
GAT
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
1 - 1
GAT
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GAT
1 - 2
WEL
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HAL
1 - 7
CHE
34%
25%
40%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 1
TRA
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 2
CHE
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WOK
0 - 1
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |