Gateshead vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GAT
3 - 1
BRA
53%
24%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
GAT
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GAT
1 - 1
ALD
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
WEL
1 - 1
GAT
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
GAT
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ALD
2 - 0
ALF
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 2
HAL
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DOV
1 - 0
ALF
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
NUN
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 2
AFC
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |