Gateshead vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
HYD
0 - 2
GAT
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GAT
2 - 0
DAR
42%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
GAT
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
GAT
3 - 2
CHE
29%
25%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
TAM
0 - 1
GAT
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 1
CHE
49%
22%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 2
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 1
ALF
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 1
ALF
36%
24%
39%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 1
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |