Gasogi United vs AS Kigali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gasogi United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
POL
2 - 0
GFC
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 0
GFC
31%
24%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
GFC
3 - 0
VFC
74%
16%
11%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
GFC
2 - 2
GFC
51%
26%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 1
MUS
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ASK
1 - 3
RAY
44%
27%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BUG
1 - 2
ASK
49%
27%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ASK
0 - 1
APR
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 2
ASK
38%
29%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ASK
1 - 0
POL
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |