Garrapinillos vs Nicaragua SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
83.4%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
6.6%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
13.2%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
8%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+177%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garrapinillos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
WNK
5 - 1
GAR
48%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 4
USJ
16%
18%
66%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
GAR
8 - 1
CDZ
36%
22%
42%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AVE
6 - 5
GAR
76%
13%
11%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ULV
4 - 2
GAR
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Nicaragua SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NIC
6 - 1
CDZ
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
AVE
2 - 6
NIC
17%
16%
67%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ULV
3 - 3
NIC
9%
13%
78%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NIC
4 - 0
CGT
85%
9%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
NTL
3 - 9
NIC
7%
11%
82%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |