Šencur vs Smartno 1928 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Šencur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
SEN
2 - 5
MAR
22%
22%
56%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
NKD
2 - 0
SEN
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SEN
3 - 3
ALU
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
CEL
3 - 2
SEN
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
SEN
4 - 0
AHM
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Smartno 1928
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RAD
1 - 1
SMA
57%
22%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SMA
1 - 1
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
NKV
1 - 1
SMA
36%
23%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AHM
2 - 2
SMA
44%
23%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NKD
4 - 1
SMA
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |